Brentford’s run of five wins from the last six Championship matches has been like a shot in the arm for most fans – all that pre-season optimism seems to be fully justified – and even though the team have performed at a consistently high level even when the results didn’t match, the Bees have almost caught up the play-off pack after a spluttering first half to the campaign.
The win at Reading underlines how Dean Smith’s side has evolved over the past month or so, there is more of a steely resolve, and as Jim Levack rightly pointed out in his article in Beesotted on Sunday, Brentford’s young squad seem to have finally come of age. Norwich will be no pushovers this weekend, but why shouldn’t we complete the double of The Canaries based on recent form?
Regular listeners to the Beesotted Pride of West London podcast will be aware that we mess around with percentages from time to time, however, we have made good acquaintances with some impressive football statisticians over the past few years – there’s some fascinating data available which usually gives a completely different dimension to following your team, information that takes a lot of the guess work out of evaluating your team’s chances of success.
Seeing The Bees surge up the league table is obviously boosting the likelihood of being involved in the promotion shake-up come May, however, stats released this week by the folks at experimental361.com pin-points progress precisely.
Based on the expected goals model (21/1/18) the Championship probabilities of all clubs can be seen in the chart above… The headline numbers from our perspective being that the chances of Brentford making the play-offs are a slither under 40%, whilst automatic promotion stands at around 4%. Oh, and Birmingham City stand a 66% chance of getting relegated!
Using the same metrics, The Bees are top of the table in terms of attacking prowess, although, at the back (largely due to the defeat at Wolves no doubt) our defence stands a lowly 18th… Still plenty to be working on at the Jersey Road training ground, but impressive none-the-less.
We advise you all to read the full report here on experimental361.com and support their impressive work.
MORE RECENT CONTENT
MOST READ CONTENT
The Beesotted crew licked their wounds and headed into town to look back at the Swansea Cup defeat, and try and fathom what on earth happened in that second 45 minutes in South West Wales on Sunday afternoon. We listen to the post-match thoughts of the fans who had...read more
Brentford face Swansea in the 5th round of the FA Cup - the 1st time they have reached thus round in 13 years. https://audioboom.com/posts/7175828-fa-cup-special-swansea-city-pre-match-podcast-from-the-pub-feat-terry-evansThe Beesotted crew of Billy Grant, Dave...read more
In this special Beesotted FA Cup fifth round preview, we look at Brentford's previous appearances at this stage of the competition, talk to BBC Wales football correspondent Rob Phillips about Swansea - how seriously they are taking the tournament and his cup memories...read more
The Big Match - It was another special night under the lights at Griffin Park, as Brentford left it late to score an injury time winner and deservedly sink Aston Villa 1-nil. For those that have been living under a rock for the last year, Aston Villa arrived at TW8,...read more
Beesotted contributor, Jim Levack, looks back at Wednesday night's memorable win over Dean Smith's Aston Villa at Griffin Park.The unbridled joy of a quality last-minute winner was tempered slightly by Dean Smith’s appearance at the post match Villa media huddle.The...read more
BrentfordFC B travelled to Dulwich Hamlet for the first of two cup games the Bees are involved in this week - this being the London Senior Cup. The second cup tie is at the weekend - the FA Cup match in Swansea.And a hard fought game saw the Bees win 1-0 - a goal...read more
Beesotted’s supply teacher, Condorman, casts his eye back over the class of 2017/2018. The dust has now settled on another enjoyable year at Brentford High School with the pupils again setting some high standards against other places of learning who often...
Derby County’s ‘agricultural’ playing style at Griffin Park earlier this season really frustrated Brentford fans who were stunned that one of the division's biggest spenders and most illustrious clubs had resorted to such extreme negativity in the 1-1 draw. Whether it...
With the transfer deadline looming and one or two Brentford players having to make decisions about their futures at Griffin Park, we thought it would be interesting to delve into the brand new Big Book of Griffin Park again and contrast how transfer negotiations have...
Griffin Park has witnessed many things in its long and eventful history, and although time is running out for the old girl with the new stadium about to be built, we all hope there’s some significant history yet to be made at our proud old home. However, I can’t see...
The most significant event to happen at Griffin Park after joining the Football League in 1920 was, without doubt, the appointment of Harry Curtis as the club’s manager – some may even go as far as to say it was the most significant moment in the club’s entire...
Ex Brentford striker Bob Taylor joined the Beesotted crew, Marcus Gayle, Kev O'Connor and a room full of Brentford fans at the Fullers’ Brewery for the traditional end of year Bees-Up. A hilarious evening in which he told of his partnership with Nicky Forster as one...